Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 7.976595 9.180271 10.461924 11.923645 13.539887 15.267693 17.249696
2025-06-01 6.178553 7.807054 9.663756 11.918883 14.564630 17.550936 21.156267
2025-06-08 4.849660 6.698452 8.945246 11.833499 15.401841 19.619128 24.929732
2025-06-15 4.149327 6.208318 8.855318 12.426987 17.033192 22.683666 30.040438
2025-06-22 3.405892 5.524897 8.405303 12.477751 17.945968 24.887576 34.201666
2025-06-29 2.673711 4.721773 7.670530 12.039391 18.141645 26.146457 37.195975
2025-07-06 2.088016 4.021552 6.970257 11.542472 18.172490 27.139308 39.842346
2025-07-13 1.867993 3.852018 7.015252 12.091311 19.658416 30.122212 45.224490
2025-07-20 1.751884 3.832626 7.278229 12.968315 21.646111 33.864072 51.764123
2025-07-27 1.621679 3.763742 7.445868 13.697738 23.441712 37.396227 58.128796
2025-08-03 1.410309 3.506394 7.267144 13.855181 24.373528 39.720728 62.872207
2025-08-10 1.156194 3.115606 6.808384 13.508675 24.495252 40.855764 65.945709
2025-08-17 0.944939 2.774455 6.404115 13.230295 24.726615 42.195208 69.420471
2025-08-24 0.794241 2.531422 6.147730 13.175888 25.301017 44.059008 73.712969
2025-08-31 0.660428 2.295044 5.870980 13.055047 25.749588 45.738192 77.778836
2025-09-07 0.612840 2.263374 6.000151 13.678268 27.465260 49.429754 84.960766
2025-09-14 0.523251 2.097947 5.828808 13.722888 28.193375 51.593779 89.888469
2025-09-21 0.411217 1.834448 5.406570 13.244928 27.980548 52.244134 92.506877
2025-09-28 0.316454 1.587021 4.978093 12.706215 27.614397 52.614294 94.680071
2025-10-05 0.295642 1.576289 5.103367 13.295553 29.302250 56.385851 102.268022
2025-10-12 0.293172 1.630066 5.391065 14.238192 31.671880 61.345077 111.839294
2025-10-19 0.282457 1.650909 5.598084 15.021645 33.774714 65.912316 120.881881
2025-10-26 0.246499 1.563850 5.519982 15.190384 34.735949 68.592906 126.970634